|
|
|
|
|
CNN 国际新闻
📌 标题：Prediction markets allow people to bet on wildfires. Experts fear it will fuel arson
📅 发布时间：Updated Jul 17, 2026, 5:29 AM ET
📝 英文原文：
When the Eaton fire swept through the Los Angeles neighborhood of Altadena last year, it claimed 19 lives andincinerated thousands of buildings— one of which was the home of Kaitlyn Trudeau’s grandfather. His house burned to the ground; he lost everything. But while he grappled with trauma, others saw dollar signs in the disaster.In January 2025, as the LA wildfires raged, people placed bets on Polymarket, one of the leading prediction market platforms. They waged money on howhow many acresthe fires would consume,which locationsthe flames would reach andwhen they would be contained.It was “pretty dystopian,” said Trudeau, a California-based climate scientist, who works at the non-profit Climate Central. “It’s not just easy to start a fire — now there’s potentially a financial incentive,” she told CNN this week, as she traveled to Altadena to see her grandfather’s house for the first time since it burned down.Polymarket is part of a booming, multibillion-dollar industry, which allows people to bet on the outcome of almost any future event, from the results of football games and elections, to the number of social media posts Elon Musk makes.Someprediction marketsalso allow people to bet on wildfires, as well as other climate change-fueled extreme weather events, and experts are sounding the alarm. They fear it risks incentivizing arson and, more generally, that it will distance people from the suffering fires bring.“I worry that it encourages people to think about these events like they are video games, not real-world disasters,” Trudeau said.Polymarket says its platform is a valuable source of information during disasters. “People turn to the news for commentary and they come to Polymarket for information,” a spokesperson said. “While we are not blind to the risks, removing these markets does not prevent a tragedy but makes the most accurate information less accessible to the people who need it most.”Firefighters watch the flames from the Palisades Fire burning a ho
---
🇨🇳 中文翻译：
去年伊顿大火席卷洛杉矶阿尔塔迪纳社区时，夺去了 19 人的生命，并烧毁了数千座建筑物，其中之一就是凯特琳·特鲁多 (Kaitlyn Trudeau) 祖父的家。他的房子被烧毁了；他失去了一切。但在他努力应对创伤的同时，其他人在这场灾难中看到了美元的迹象。 2025 年 1 月，随着洛杉矶山火肆虐，人们在 Polymarket（领先的预测市场平台之一）上下注。他们下注了多少英亩土地
🔗 原文链接：阅读全文
本文由自动抓取系统生成，英文原文已自动翻译为中文。 |
本站资源免费共享，所发布的一切资源均收集于互联网用户公开分享，本站不对资源拥有任何版权，版权争议与本站无关，您必须在学习后的24个小时之内，从您的设备中彻底删除上述内容。
1. 本站不对资源进行任何的制作和改造，仅限用于学习和研究目的；
2. 您不得将上述内容用于商业或者非法用途，否则，一切后果请用户自负;
3. 本站内容如侵犯了您的合法权益，请及时留言，以便本站及时清理;
4. 本站作者QQ：41020712，可免费下载！
5. 盗版，破解有损他人权益和违法作为，请各位用户支持正版！
|
