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CNN 国际新闻
📌 标题：•AnalysisAnalysisTrump is playing with economic fire by calling the peace deal with Iran ‘over’Three weeks of fragile peace bought President Donald Trump some time and leverage over Iran. But not too much.
📅 发布时间：Updated Jul 8, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
📝 英文原文：
Three weeks of fragile peace bought President Donald Trump some time andleverageover Iran. But not too much.After Trump signed the Memorandum of Understanding with Iran on June 18, oil prices tumbled, sinking below pre-war levels by last week. The oil market cheered as the Strait of Hormuz reopened somewhat, and crude started gradually flowing out of the Persian Gulf after getting stuck there for months. Gas prices have been slowly falling back down to Earth, too.But three weeks of a partially reopened strait wasn’t enough time to overcome the biggest oil supply shock the world has ever seen. It didn’t offer sufficient time to refill the emergency and commercial stockpiles that the United States needs to supply itself with fuel – and avoid the looming “economic catastrophe” that Trump feared would earn him comparisons to Depression-era President Herbert Hoover.No one knows if thislatest exchange of firein the Middle East is a blip or a return to all-out war. Trump threatened Wednesday toresume America’s naval blockadeof the strait – but so far, the strait remains open to ships willing to take the risk to get in and out.But if it closes again, the US economy could take an unwelcome hit.Barrels of timeAbout200 million barrels of oilescaped the Strait of Hormuz over the past three weeks, according to Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates. That’s the equivalent of two days of global demand.Another caveat: Much of that oil – around 60 million barrels worth – is Iranian, which the Trump administration sanctioned again on Tuesday, giving buyers just 10 days to take hold of it before it’s off-limits again.Vessels at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, on July 8, 2026.Stringer/ReutersStill, the strait remains open, with a significant risk premium. To commission a tanker to ship oil from outside the strait to Asia, you’ll need around $4 million to $5 million. Getting a vessel to take oil from inside the strait to Asia costs $8 million to $10 million – d
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🇨🇳 中文翻译：
三周的脆弱和平为唐纳德·特朗普总统赢得了一些时间和对伊朗的影响力。但幅度也不会太大。6月18日特朗普与伊朗签署谅解备忘录后，油价暴跌，上周跌至战前水平以下。随着霍尔木兹海峡重新开放，石油市场欢呼雀跃，原油在波斯湾滞留数月后开始逐渐流出。天然气价格也一直在缓慢回落至地球水平。但三周的部分恢复
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本文由自动抓取系统生成，英文原文已自动翻译为中文。 |
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